Machine Learning for Text in the News (again): FinancePosted: May 28, 2017
A short but interesting piece in The Economist this week entitled Machine-learning promises to shake up large swathes of finance, under a heading of “Unshackled algorithms” (located here).
Many of the usual observations and platitudes are contained herein, but I thought these quotes were notable:
- Natural-language processing, where AI-based systems are unleashed on text, is starting to have a big impact in document-heavy parts of finance. In June 2016 JPMorgan Chase deployed software that can sift through 12,000 commercial-loan contracts in seconds, compared with the 360,000 hours it used to take lawyers and loan officers to review the contracts. [So maybe once again I am focused on one of the least remunerative aspects of a new technology…]
Perhaps the newest frontier for machine-learning is in trading, where it is used both to crunch market data and to select and trade portfolios of securities. The quantitative-investment strategies division at Goldman Sachs uses language processing driven by machine-learning to go through thousands of analysts’ reports on companies. It compiles an aggregate “sentiment score” based on the balance of positive to negative words. [Seems a bit simplistic, no?]
- In other fields, however, machine-learning has game-changing potential. There is no reason to expect finance to be different. According to Jonathan Masci of Quantenstein, a machine-learning fund manager, years of work on rules-based approaches in computer vision—telling a computer how to recognise a nose, say— were swiftly eclipsed in 2012 by machine-learning processes that allowed computers to “learn” what a nose looked like from perusing millions of nasal pin-ups. Similarly, says Mr Masci, a machine-learning algorithm ought to beat conventional trading strategies based on rules set by humans. [The data point replicates, over the same timeframe, when Elijah Mayfield showed that off-the-shelf, open source machine learning could with days of work produce competitive results (for scoring essays) the capabilities of decades-old rule-based systems (from e-Rater, Intelligent Essay Assessor and six others). See note below]
I would also note that such “supervised learning” machine learning applications that leverage NLP )natural-language processing tools, which are used in, but not by themselves good examples of, IA techniques) tools are now a standard “first stage” of Machine Learning that typically evolves toward some form of neural network-based improves, just as the “computer vision” example noted above did in subsequent iterations over the last five + years.
for the Elijah Mayfield reference see:
- Mayfield, E., & Rosé, C. P. (2013). LightSIDE: Open Source Machine Learning for Text Accessible to Non-Experts. Invited chapter in the Handbook of Automated Essay Grading.
- Shermis, M. D., & Hamner, B. (2012). Contrasting state-of-the-art automated scoring of essays: Analysis. Annual National Council on Measurement in Education Meeting, March 29, 2012, pg. 1-54.